Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000235 0.000262 0.000292 0.000326 0.000364 0.000406 0.000454
2025-01-26 0.000194 0.000232 0.000274 0.000327 0.000389 0.000461 0.000550
2025-02-02 0.000174 0.000219 0.000274 0.000344 0.000433 0.000541 0.000683
2025-02-09 0.000153 0.000203 0.000266 0.000351 0.000463 0.000607 0.000805
2025-02-16 0.000137 0.000189 0.000258 0.000355 0.000490 0.000671 0.000931
2025-02-23 0.000121 0.000175 0.000248 0.000355 0.000510 0.000725 0.001048
2025-03-02 0.000107 0.000160 0.000235 0.000349 0.000520 0.000766 0.001150
2025-03-09 0.000096 0.000149 0.000226 0.000347 0.000535 0.000815 0.001267
2025-03-16 0.000088 0.000140 0.000219 0.000348 0.000553 0.000869 0.001394
2025-03-23 0.000081 0.000133 0.000214 0.000349 0.000572 0.000926 0.001531
2025-03-30 0.000074 0.000125 0.000206 0.000347 0.000585 0.000972 0.001656
2025-04-06 0.000069 0.000119 0.000202 0.000349 0.000605 0.001032 0.001806
2025-04-13 0.000064 0.000114 0.000198 0.000352 0.000627 0.001100 0.001982
2025-04-20 0.000058 0.000107 0.000191 0.000348 0.000637 0.001147 0.002127
2025-04-27 0.000056 0.000106 0.000194 0.000364 0.000684 0.001264 0.002409
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000102 0.000192 0.000369 0.000712 0.001350 0.002642
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000098 0.000189 0.000373 0.000738 0.001434 0.002879
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000094 0.000185 0.000372 0.000754 0.001500 0.003088
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000088 0.000177 0.000366 0.000758 0.001543 0.003252
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000084 0.000172 0.000364 0.000771 0.001604 0.003462
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000080 0.000169 0.000364 0.000789 0.001677 0.003701
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000077 0.000166 0.000366 0.000809 0.001757 0.003965
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000074 0.000161 0.000363 0.000821 0.001819 0.004193